Our Fossil-Fueled Future

Via Utne Reader:

Known as the International Energy Outlook (IEO), the assessment incorporates detailed projections of future energy production and consumption. Although dense with statistical data and filled with technical jargon, the 2013 report provides a unique and disturbing picture of our planetary future.

Many of us would like to believe that, by 2040, the world will be far along the path toward a green industrial future with wind, solar, and renewable fuels providing the bulk of our energy supplies. The IEO assumes otherwise. It anticipates a world in which coal -- the most carbon-intense of all major fuels -- still supplies more of our energy than renewables, nuclear, and hydropower combined.

The world it foresees is also one in which oil remains a preeminent source of energy, while hydro-fracking and other drilling techniques for extracting unconventional fossil fuels are far more widely employed than today. Wind and solar energy will also play a bigger role in 2040, but -- as the IEO sees it -- will still represent only a small fraction of the global energy mix.

Click the link to see more: Our Fossil-Fueled Future - Environment - Utne Reader
Points:
  • “Global energy use will continue to rise rapidly.”
  • “An increasing share of world energy demand will be generated by developing countries, especially those in Asia.”
  • “China, which only recently overtook the United States as the world’s leading energy consumer, will account for the largest share -- 40% -- of the growth in global consumption over the next 30 years.”
  • “…four critical trends: the surprising resilience of fossil fuels, the degree to which the world’s energy will be being provided by unconventional fossil fuels, the seemingly relentless global increase in emissions of carbon dioxide, and significant shifts in the geopolitics of energy.”